Atlanta Falcons over 9.5 (-130)
The Falcons ended the 2016 regular season with an 11-5 record. They were the 2016 NFC Champions and ended up losing in the Super Bowl 34-28 to the New England Patriots. The Falcons still have the duel threat of Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman out of the backfield. Along side one of the best backfields in the NFL, the Falcons have a talented receiving corps with Julio Jones, Mohamed Sanu, and Taylor Gabriel. With the Falcons defense mostly still intact from last season, I’ll take them with the over of 9.5 wins.
Dallas Cowboys under 9.5 (+120)
The Cowboys went 13-3 in the 2016 regular season. The Cowboys have one of the best offensive lines in the game and two young rookies, Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliot, who proved their worth. The Cowboys lost a lot on the defensive side of the ball – especially in their secondary. The NFC East boasts players like Odell Beckham Jr. and Brandon Marshall of the Giants, Alshon Jeffrey of the Eagles, and Terrelle Pryor Sr. of the Redskins. The Cowboys will also be playing the Falcons, Green Bay Packers, and Raiders who all have top-tier wide receivers. The secondary will be the Cowboys problem this season. I’ll take the Cowboys winning 8 games.
New England Patriots over 12.5 (-130)
Obviously, the Patriots are the defending Super Bowl Champions and they have one of the best quarterback’s of all-time – if not the best. Tom Brady is a 5x Super Bowl Champion and he has four Super Bowl MVP’s. Tom Brady led the Patriots to an 11-1 record after returning from his suspension. The Patriots finished the season 14-2 in 2016. The Patriots play in a division with the Dolphins, Jets, and Bills and they should go 8-0 against those teams. With Bill Belichick and Tom Brady in a weak division it’s hard to go against them. The New England Patriots will, at least, get 14 wins again this season.
New York Giants over 9 (-105)
Last season the Giants had one of the best defenses in the league with their off-season acquisitions of Damon Harrison, Janoris Jenkins, and Olivier Vernon. They also have one of the best young players in the game in Landon Collins. The Giants have added to their depth on the offensive side of the ball. They added Brandon Marshall and drafted Evan Engram along side Sterling Shepard and Odell Beckham Jr. The Giants are in WIN NOW mode with Eli Manning’s years coming down to an end. The question will remain about their offensive line and if they can hold up. Even with their weak offensive line, I’ll take the Giants over 9 wins on the season with their talented defense and their top tier wide receiving corps.
New York Jets under 5 (-200)
The Jets went 5-11 last year with Ryan Fitzpatrick at quarterback. This year the competition for quarterback will be between Christian Hackenberg, Josh McCown, and Bryce Petty. The Jets had one of the worst pass defenses in the league last year. Their best chance for a few wins will be against the Browns, Bills (twice), and the Jaguars.
Seattle Seahawks over 10.5 (-115)
The Seahawks still have a strong defense with Richard Sherman, Earl Thomas, and Kam Chancellor in the secondary. The Seahawks finished last season 10-5-1 and ended up losing in the playoffs to the Falcons. You hope to keep Russell Wilson healthy all season this year and they’ve added Eddie Lacy to the backfield. The question on offense will be their offensive line. The Seahawks are a much different team at home. I’ll take the Seahawks winning at least 11 games this season.