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NFL Week 7 Spread Locks

This year has been the true epitome of peaks and valleys. The past couple of weeks prior to Week 6 can be considered peaks. Week 6 could be considered death valley. Not only were there few great games, but once again the injury bug came out to play. Football without Odell Beckham Jr., already sucks. Now it appears as if we will also have to finish the football season without Aaron Rodgers either.

If you’re keeping score at home the most watchable receiver (Odell), defensive player (J.J. Watt) and now quarterback are lost for the season. Ratings have already been on the downswing, without watchable stars expect those ratings to plummet even further. Is this karma for the greedy NFL owners. Perhaps. Whatever it is, it sucks.

Bye Week

It’s been one of those weeks. Let’s use a bye week here and get back next week.

The Locks

Last week was a bloodbath on the locks. I gambled with big spreads and sided with bad quarterbacks (Blake Bortles). Luckily the rest of my picks hit so I saved relative face. Let’s make up for an abysmal 0-4 last week with a 4-0 this week.

Jets (+3) over DOLPHINS

Two things at work here. First, the Jets have quietly beaten the spread four of their first six games. Last week the officials completely hosed them out of their game with the Patriots. The Austin Seferian-Jenkins “fumble” was such a bad call I skipped anger and started laughing hysterically like Walter White. I would complain more but sadly this is status quo for NFL officials- old men who have little to no clue what the fuck is going on.

My second reason for choosing Gang Green is Jay Cutler. Trusting Jay Cutler with any spread is like purchasing a lotto ticket. Sure, you might win but chances are you pissed away money. Last week Cutler and the Dolphins not only covered but defeated the Falcons in Atlanta. Good for them but this week they face a defense they mustered six points against in their prior meeting. It will not be another Jets blowout win or even a Jets win. But it should be close.

Prediction: Jets 20, Dolphins 23

Panthers (-3) over BEARS

Cam Newton and the Panthers faced a tough task last week. Facing the red hot Eagles on a short week is not easy, yet the Panthers had a chance to win that game at the end. The Bears are coming off an OT win in Baltimore but they are a far cry from the Eagles. Rookie quarterback Mitch Trubisky has been solid but the Panthers should test him by making Jordan Howard and the Bears running game inefficient.

If the Panthers can clear 20 points they should walk out of Chicago unscathed. Through six games the Bears have scored more than 20 points twice, their two wins. This will not be a win and likely be a sub-20 point game at Soldier Field.

Prediction: Panthers 24, Bears 10

RAMS (-3) over Cardinals

Even when the Cardinals win they manage to look underwhelming. They defeated the Buccaneers at home last week 38-33, to somehow improve to 3-3. It should be noted that the Bucs lost Jameis Winston in the first half, meaning Ryan Fitzpatrick was the guy leading the comeback. Yikes. There was good news though, Adrian Peterson still has gas left in the tank and may have arrived in the desert at the perfect time.

Their opponent this week however are the first place Rams. I too did not want to believe a team led by Jared Goff would be good yet here we are. To their credit they have beaten the bad teams and hung with the good teams. In their two losses (both in LA) Goff had a chance to win the game at the end of regulation. The first time he threw an interception, the second his receiver flat out dropped a touchdown. Goff shouldn’t be in that situation this week as Todd Gurley should be more than enough to take down a Cardinals team that is lucky to be where they’re at now.

Prediction: Cardinals 23, Rams 31

EAGLES (-5) over Redskins

The Eagles are the best team in the NFC at the moment and the hottest team in the league. Carson Wentz has been electric and has proven his front office correct-give him weapons and let him take care of the rest. Wentz already has 13 touchdowns to only 3 interceptions and has been the straw that stirs the drink in Philly. A few more wins and the Eagles will separate themselves from a NFC East that will not be as tight as we all expected it to be.

On the other side of the ball the Redskins can trim that lead. They stand as the only real threat to the Eagles, but already lost to them in DC (via Landover, Maryland). In that game Wentz simply outplayed Kirk Cousins and led wire to wire. It was a tight contest throughout in the first meeting, with a fumble returned for a touchdown being the nail in the Redskins’ coffin. On Monday night Wentz will attempt to hand Cousins a second L and continue his sophomore surge.

Prediction: Redskins 27, Eagles 34

The Other Guys

BILLS (-3) over Buccaneers
Titans (-6) over BROWNS
Saints (-4) over PACKERS
Jaguars (-3) over COLTS
VIKINGS (-5.5) over Ravens
Cowboys (-6.5) over 49ERS
STEELERS (-5.5) over Bengals
Broncos (-1) over CHARGERS
Seahawks (-4) over GIANTS
PATRIOTS (-3) over Falcons

Last Week: 5-8-1
Overall: 42-47-2

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